Liepaja 2-1 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
53%
Away Win
56%
-3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 61%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.03/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.38
-15% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
10.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.5
10.4 Crosses 20.0
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.60 xG 2.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
265 Passes 500
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
20.09.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 2-0 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
01.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
10.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 4-1 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
30.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.09.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
2-1
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.54 xG 0.82
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
214 Passes 499
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja squeezed past Rigas Skola 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rigas Skola at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liepaja had 34% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 66%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.54 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Liepaja and 3.17 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Liepaja 2-1 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 23%, draw 24%, Rigas Skola 53%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rigas Skola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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