BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Riga FC
LET
BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics
Riga FC squeezed past BFC Daugavpils 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 39% of the ball to Riga FC's 61%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.09 to 0.53 — on chances, BFC Daugavpils could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 2.17 for Riga FC.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?
BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 18%, draw 22%, Riga FC 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.