BAE U23 1-2 Çin U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 22 Apr 2024

BAE U23
1-2 HT 0-2
Çin U23
📅22/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2024

BAE U23 vs Çin U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BAE U23 v Çin U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Çin U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

BAE U23 vs Çin U23 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BAE U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Çin U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.81 xG 0.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
327 Passes 235
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.09.2023 BAE U23 BAE U23 0-0 Çin U23 Çin U23 AFCU23

BAE U23 1-2 Çin U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BAE U23
1-2
AWAY Çin U23
0.91 xG 0.89
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
334 Passes 149
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
32 Box Touches 19
31 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH BAE U23 vs Çin U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çin U23 nicked a narrow win over BAE U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Çin U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BAE U23 had 64% of the ball to Çin U23's 36%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 0.91 to 0.89.

What was the final score of BAE U23 vs Çin U23?

BAE U23 1-2 Çin U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BAE U23 vs Çin U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çin U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split BAE U23 34%, draw 30%, Çin U23 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çin U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çin U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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