Suudi Arabistan U23 1-2 Irak U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.95
Over 2.5
61%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.2pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suudi Arabistan U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Irak U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.15/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.38
-16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
19.5 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suudi Arabistan U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Irak U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
222 Passes 252
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
3 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2018 Suudi Arabistan U23 Suudi Arabistan U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Irak U23 Irak U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suudi Arabistan U23
1-2
AWAY Irak U23
1.58 xG 1.40
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
378 Passes 183
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Irak U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak U23 edged past Suudi Arabistan U23 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Irak U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Suudi Arabistan U23 had 63% of the ball to Irak U23's 37%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.58 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Irak U23?

Suudi Arabistan U23 1-2 Irak U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Irak U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suudi Arabistan U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Suudi Arabistan U23 39%, draw 30%, Irak U23 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suudi Arabistan U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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