Tayland U23 0-1 Tacikistan U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tayland U23 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacikistan U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tayland U23
0-1
AWAY Tacikistan U23
0.67 xG 1.66
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
227 Passes 445
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tayland U23 vs Tacikistan U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacikistan U23 squeezed past Tayland U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tayland U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tayland U23 had 37% of the ball to Tacikistan U23's 63%, shots finished 9-26, expected goals 0.67 to 1.66.

What was the final score of Tayland U23 vs Tacikistan U23?

Tayland U23 0-1 Tacikistan U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tayland U23 vs Tacikistan U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tayland U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tayland U23 46%, draw 23%, Tacikistan U23 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tayland U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tayland U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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