Japonya U23 0-1 Güney Kore U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
0.93/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.40
+115% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
18.0 Crosses 25.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya U23
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Güney Kore U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.09 xG 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
241 Passes 334
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 2-1 HT 1-1 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 AFCAG
12.06.2022 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 0-3 HT 0-1 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 AFCU23
10.08.2012 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 2-0 HT 1-0 Japonya U23 Japonya U23 OLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
0-1
AWAY Güney Kore U23
1.22 xG 0.61
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs Güney Kore U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore U23 nicked a narrow win over Japonya U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Güney Kore U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 61% of the ball to Güney Kore U23's 39%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.22 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Japonya U23.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Güney Kore U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Japonya U23 and 1.33 for Güney Kore U23.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Japonya U23 0-1 Güney Kore U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs Güney Kore U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 39%, draw 29%, Güney Kore U23 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Japonya U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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