Grazer AK 0-3 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.93
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.8
X/2 EV+ ✓
16%
7.12
X/X
13%
4.54
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
16%
5.38
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · X/2 at 7.12 — our 16% vs market 10.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.16/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.59
-38% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 73%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.9 Crosses 16.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.28 xG 1.48
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
202 Passes 466
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 0-3 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
31.08.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
0-3
AWAY Hartberg
0.60 xG 2.93
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
350 Passes 236
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg ran out comfortable winners over Grazer AK 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Hartberg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Grazer AK had 58% of the ball to Hartberg's 42%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.60 to 2.93.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hartberg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Grazer AK and 2.00 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Hartberg?

Grazer AK 0-3 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 38%, draw 25%, Hartberg 37%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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