Austria Klagenfurt 1-4 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.75
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
10%
8.4
X/2
16%
4.48
X/X
12%
5.0
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.47
2/X
8%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.75 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 55%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.26/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.02
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 78%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.3 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
0W-1D-5L
AWAY LASK Linz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.73 xG 1.55
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
253 Passes 386
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2025 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
06.10.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 4-0 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
05.05.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
31.03.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
11.02.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-2 HT 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
16.09.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-3 HT 0-3 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
1-4
AWAY LASK Linz
0.89 xG 2.40
31% Ball Possession 69%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
208 Passes 551
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz cruised past Austria Klagenfurt 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 31% of the ball to LASK Linz's 69%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.89 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 2.33 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz?

Austria Klagenfurt 1-4 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 31%, draw 26%, LASK Linz 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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