East Riffa 3-2 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.34
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
16%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.5pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.69/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.79
-27% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
196 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 486 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Khalidiya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-1 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
19.05.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 3-0 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
07.02.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 3-2 HT 1-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
17.01.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 0-4 HT 0-2 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAHK
03.04.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 1-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
02.12.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 1-1 HT 1-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Riffa
3-2
AWAY Khalidiya
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Riffa squeezed past Khalidiya 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Khalidiya at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, East Riffa had 30% of the ball to Khalidiya's 70%, shots finished 4-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for East Riffa and 1.83 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Khalidiya?

East Riffa 3-2 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 23%, draw 26%, Khalidiya 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khalidiya), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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