Al Ahli Manama 2-3 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.20/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/1.48
-12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sitra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Sitra Sitra 2-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHKK
21.10.2024 Sitra Sitra 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
04.03.2024 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
29.09.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 3-1 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
25.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
20.10.2022 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-2 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
2-3
AWAY Sitra
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra squeezed past Al Ahli Manama 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Sitra made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 58% of the ball to Sitra's 42%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sitra led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.50 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Sitra?

Al Ahli Manama 2-3 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 32%, draw 28%, Sitra 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sitra), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sitra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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