Al Riffa 5-1 Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Manama EU Bookmakers 21%
-15% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.63/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.41
-19% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Manama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
20.05.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-2 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
18.03.2024 Manama Manama 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHK
06.02.2024 Manama Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
01.03.2023 Manama Manama 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
26.12.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 Manama Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
5-1
AWAY Manama
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa swept aside Manama 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Riffa had 53% of the ball to Manama's 47%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manama led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Riffa and 0.83 for Manama.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Manama?

Al Riffa 5-1 Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 55%, draw 22%, Manama 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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