Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dender EH v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals
Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Sporting Charleroi
BEL
2-0
HT 1-0
Dender EH
BEL
2-4
HT 1-1
Sporting Charleroi
BEL
1-0
HT 0-0
Dender EH
BEL
Dender EH 2-1 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics
Dender EH squeezed past Sporting Charleroi 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Dender EH made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Dender EH had 40% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 60%, shots finished 7-27, expected goals 0.77 to 2.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting Charleroi.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dender EH and 2.33 for Sporting Charleroi.
What was the final score of Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi?
Dender EH 2-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 35%, draw 26%, Sporting Charleroi 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.