Standard Liege 0-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.33
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
12%
6.44
X/X
15%
4.15
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
12%
4.89
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.31/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.40
-29% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.1 Crosses 14.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Standard Liege
2W-2D-2L
AWAY OH Leuven
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
352 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
31.08.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-0 HT 1-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
05.05.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-1 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
06.04.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.02.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
30.09.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 0-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Standard Liege
0-1
AWAY OH Leuven
0.85 xG 1.72
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
329 Passes 319
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Standard Liege vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven nicked a narrow win over Standard Liege 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; OH Leuven found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Standard Liege had 50% of the ball to OH Leuven's 50%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.85 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Standard Liege and 1.17 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

Standard Liege 0-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Standard Liege win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Standard Liege 40%, draw 29%, OH Leuven 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Standard Liege) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Standard Liege) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
22 Apr 2025
21:30 Mechelen vs Westerlo Analysis →
21:30 Dender EH vs Sporting Charleroi Analysis →