Al Sadd 3-0 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Cup, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
28%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.38
Over Pick
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.78
2-3
35%
1.93
4-5
27%
2.68
6+
17%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
66%
-19.7pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.0pp
28%
Away Win
15%
+13.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 18%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli
4.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.94 xG 1.39
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
438 Passes 286
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Al Sadd Al Sadd 5-0 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
07.12.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
17.04.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-9 HT 1-3 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
26.08.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-2 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
20.02.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
07.10.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 3-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd ran out comfortable winners over Al Ahli 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for Al Sadd and 1.17 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Al Ahli?

Al Sadd 3-0 Al Ahli in the Qatar - Cup on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 46%, draw 25%, Al Ahli 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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