Al Wehda vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Wehda v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Wehda vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Al Wehda
SUUD
2-4
HT 2-2
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-0
HT 0-0
Al Wehda
SUUD
2-0
HT 1-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
Al Wehda 2-3 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahli Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Wehda 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Al Wehda had 55% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 45%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.61 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ahli Jeddah's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wehda and 1.67 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Wehda 2-3 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 17%, draw 22%, Al Ahli Jeddah 61%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.