Konyaspor 1-5 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 22 Apr 2025

📅22/04/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.1
Over Pick
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.97
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
27%
3.04
6+
11%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.64
1/2
8%
21.5
1/X
8%
15.9
X/1
8%
9.99
X/2
12%
4.33
X/X
12%
5.77
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.13
2/X
9%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
43%
Away Win
55%
-12.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 60%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.17/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.01
-13% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Konyaspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 2.06
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
190 Passes 385
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TÜK
25.01.2025 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
16.08.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
26.05.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-3 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
07.01.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
17.03.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Konyaspor
1-5
AWAY Galatasaray
1.21 xG 1.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
244 Passes 419
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 34
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray ran out comfortable winners over Konyaspor 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Konyaspor had 40% of the ball to Galatasaray's 60%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.21 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Konyaspor and 1.67 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Konyaspor 1-5 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Cup on 22/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Konyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Konyaspor 29%, draw 28%, Galatasaray 43%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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