Galatasaray 1-0 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.53
2-3 Goals
39%
2.13
4-5 Goals
26%
2.42
6+ Goals
15%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.55
X/1
15%
3.93
X/2
7%
21.35
X/X
5%
10.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.15
2/2
6%
16.85
2/X
6%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.15 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.9pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.43/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.96
+13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 76%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
25.1 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Konyaspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.85 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
410 Passes 242
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
26.05.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-3 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
07.01.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3-0 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
17.03.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
16.09.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
05.03.2022 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
1-0
AWAY Konyaspor
2.29 xG 0.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
342 Passes 202
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray nicked a narrow win over Konyaspor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Galatasaray had 58% of the ball to Konyaspor's 42%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.29 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Galatasaray's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Galatasaray and 1.17 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Konyaspor?

Galatasaray 1-0 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 64%, draw 18%, Konyaspor 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
25 Jan 2025
13:30 Sivasspor vs Kayserispor Analysis →
16:00 Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir FK Analysis →