Sivasspor 5-2 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
12%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
18%
4.99
X/2
12%
6.99
X/X
8%
4.49
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
9%
5.04
2/X
11%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.43/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.53
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.4 Crosses 17.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kayserispor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.59 xG 1.53
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
290 Passes 391
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
25.05.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
07.01.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-3 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
06.06.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
13.01.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 4-1 HT 3-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.05.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-3 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
5-2
AWAY Kayserispor
2.90 xG 2.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
426 Passes 299
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor cruised past Kayserispor 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sivasspor had 57% of the ball to Kayserispor's 43%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.90 to 2.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sivasspor and 1.67 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Kayserispor?

Sivasspor 5-2 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 45%, draw 25%, Kayserispor 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
25 Jan 2025
16:00 Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir FK Analysis →
19:00 Galatasaray vs Konyaspor Analysis →