Alanyaspor 5-4 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.45
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
6.06
X/2
10%
5.27
X/X
14%
3.92
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.6
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.67/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.10
+25% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
19.7 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
412 Passes 421
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 4-2 HT 1-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
13.01.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-2 HT 2-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.08.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.03.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
03.09.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
08.01.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
5-4
AWAY Başakşehir FK
2.43 xG 2.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 230
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
8 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanyaspor nicked a narrow win over Başakşehir FK 5-4. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Alanyaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 50% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 50%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.43 to 2.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alanyaspor and 1.67 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Alanyaspor 5-4 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 37%, draw 26%, Başakşehir FK 37%. The final score 5-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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