Barra 0-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-10.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barra EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -37%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
Crosses 22.8
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barra
0-1
AWAY Corinthians
0.64 xG 0.35
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
206 Passes 484
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barra vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians squeezed past Barra 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Barra had 39% of the ball to Corinthians's 61%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.64 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Barra vs Corinthians?

Barra 0-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Cup on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barra vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barra 29%, draw 26%, Corinthians 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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