Gremio 2-0 Confiança — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.27
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.6
No
50%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
75%
-12.8pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.4pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
34%
+15.6pp
50%
BTTS No
66%
-15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Confiança EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.55/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-28% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
2-0
AWAY Confiança
2.48 xG 0.25
69% Ball Possession 31%
22 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 0
508 Passes 171
91% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 4
46 Crosses 3
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Confiança
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio got the better of Confiança 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gremio had 69% of the ball to Confiança's 31%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 2.48 to 0.25.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Confiança?

Gremio 2-0 Confiança in the Brazil - Cup on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Confiança?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gremio 62%, draw 22%, Confiança 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gremio) ✗ Over 2.5
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