Paysandu vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paysandu v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Paysandu vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Paysandu
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Paysandu
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR1
Paysandu 0-2 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama beat Paysandu 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Paysandu had 42% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 58%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.43 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Paysandu had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Paysandu and 1.00 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Paysandu vs Vasco da Gama?
Paysandu 0-2 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Cup on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 29%, draw 24%, Vasco da Gama 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.