Sao Paulo vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Juventude — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Juventude
BR1
Sao Paulo 1-0 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo edged past Juventude 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 68% of the ball to Juventude's 32%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.02 to 0.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sao Paulo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.67 for Juventude.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Sao Paulo 1-0 Juventude in the Brazil - Cup on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 60%, draw 23%, Juventude 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.