Sao Paulo 2-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.18
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.95
X/1
20%
4.13
X/2
8%
10.25
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
5%
8.81
2/X
5%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.39/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.45
-11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.6 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juventude
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.00 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
466 Passes 291
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2025 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
05.12.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-2 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
22.07.2024 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
23.10.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 1-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
27.06.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
13.05.2022 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-1
AWAY Juventude
1.49 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
355 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo edged past Juventude 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 51% of the ball to Juventude's 49%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.50 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Juventude?

Sao Paulo 2-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 59%, draw 23%, Juventude 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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