Botafogo vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 2-1
Gremio
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-5
HT 0-2
Gremio
BR1
Botafogo 3-2 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo nicked a narrow win over Gremio 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Botafogo had 45% of the ball to Gremio's 55%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.19 to 1.65.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Botafogo and 1.83 for Gremio.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Gremio?
Botafogo 3-2 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Gremio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 57%, draw 22%, Gremio 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.