Gremio vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gremio v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Gremio vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 2-1
Gremio
BR1
0-2
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-5
HT 0-2
Gremio
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo
BR1
Gremio 1-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Gremio and Botafogo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Gremio had 46% of the ball to Botafogo's 54%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.07 to 1.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gremio and 1.67 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Gremio vs Botafogo?
Gremio 1-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gremio vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gremio 39%, draw 26%, Botafogo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gremio), BTTS No went the other way.