Flamengo 3-0 Bragantino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.63
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
19.6
X/1
27%
3.79
X/2
6%
16.2
X/X
5%
6.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
16%
23.55
2/2
5%
14.35
2/X
5%
22.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.55 — our 16% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
69%
+0.7pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.1pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bragantino EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.93/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.87
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -21%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
418 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
22.0 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bragantino
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
407 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.07.2025 Bragantino 1-2 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
26.08.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
05.05.2024 Bragantino 1-1 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
24.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
23.06.2023 Bragantino 4-0 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
02.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 4-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
3-0
AWAY Bragantino
2.17 xG 0.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
481 Passes 327
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Bragantino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo cruised past Bragantino 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Flamengo had 58% of the ball to Bragantino's 42%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.17 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Flamengo and 1.33 for Bragantino.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Bragantino?

Flamengo 3-0 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Bragantino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 69%, draw 15%, Bragantino 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Over 2.5
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