Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.02
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
29%
3.81
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
8%
10.45
2/X
6%
19.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.88/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.39
+8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
403 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
25.1 Crosses 12.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Fluminense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
302 Passes 388
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.07.2025 Fluminense Fluminense 1-2 HT 1-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
08.12.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 0-1 HT 0-1 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
25.07.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
03.12.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
06.08.2023 Fluminense Fluminense 2-1 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
28.08.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
0-0
AWAY Fluminense
0.83 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
342 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 20
35 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palmeiras vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras and Fluminense played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Palmeiras at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Palmeiras had 54% of the ball to Fluminense's 46%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 0.83 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Palmeiras and 1.00 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 59%, draw 22%, Fluminense 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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