Leones del Norte 3-0 Manta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.56
Over
49%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones del Norte The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Manta The Market 28%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.32/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.31
-29% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
11.0 Crosses 14.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leones del Norte
3-0
AWAY Manta
1.86 xG 0.94
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
162 Passes 321
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leones del Norte vs Manta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones del Norte cruised past Manta 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leones del Norte as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Leones del Norte had 39% of the ball to Manta's 61%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.86 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Leones del Norte vs Manta?

Leones del Norte 3-0 Manta in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones del Norte vs Manta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones del Norte win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leones del Norte 45%, draw 29%, Manta 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones del Norte) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones del Norte) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
22 Apr 2026
01:00 Libertad vs Guayaquil City Analysis →
03:30 Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec Analysis →
21:00 Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle Analysis →
23:30 Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense Analysis →