Delfin 0-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.62
Over
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
38%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle The Market 45%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +24%
1.06/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.0 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 1.22
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
164 Passes 436
65% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
01.06.2025 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
04.08.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-2 HT 0-2 Delfin Delfin EKV1
02.03.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
02.09.2023 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
09.04.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
0-1
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.33 xG 1.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
215 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle nicked a narrow win over Delfin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Independiente Del Valle made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Delfin had 42% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 58%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.33 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Delfin and 1.00 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle?

Delfin 0-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Delfin 35%, draw 28%, Independiente Del Valle 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
22 Apr 2026
01:00 Libertad vs Guayaquil City Analysis →
03:30 Tecnico Universitario vs Emelec Analysis →
19:00 Leones del Norte vs Manta Analysis →
23:30 Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense Analysis →