Deportivo Cuenca 1-3 Orense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
39%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Orense The Market 28%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.39/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.6 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Orense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.81 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
291 Passes 270
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
10.05.2025 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
10.08.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 1-1 Orense Orense EKV1
10.03.2024 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
03.09.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
08.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-3
AWAY Orense
1.65 xG 1.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
434 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense saw off Deportivo Cuenca 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 59% of the ball to Orense's 41%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.65 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.17 for Orense.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-3 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 52%, draw 26%, Orense 21%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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