22/04/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Al Mosul vs Naft Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
33%
Draw
31%
34%
Away Win
33%
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
55%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Mosul v Naft — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Mosul
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Naft
EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% /
+5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-10% /
-4%
1.39/1.41
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.78/1.13
+23%
/
-27%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
-16%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
328 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Mosul vs Naft Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Mosul
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Naft
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Mosul vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Mosul and Naft played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Al Mosul vs Naft?
Al Mosul 0-0 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Mosul vs Naft?
Before kick-off our model rated an Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Mosul 32%, draw 33%, Naft 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naft) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Naft)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
22 Apr 2026