Al Talaba 2-2 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.74/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.65
+21% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Talaba
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Newroz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
14.01.2026 Newroz 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
14.03.2025 Al Talaba Al Talaba 3-1 HT 1-0 Newroz IRAK
15.02.2024 Newroz 1-2 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Talaba vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Talaba and Newroz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Talaba at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Talaba had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Talaba and 0.67 for Newroz.

What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Newroz?

Al Talaba 2-2 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 44%, draw 31%, Newroz 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Talaba), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
22 Apr 2026
17:00 Al Mosul vs Naft Analysis →
19:30 Al Zawraa vs Diala Analysis →
19:30 Al Karkh vs Al Karma Analysis →