Al Zawraa 2-0 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.73/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.99
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +51%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Zawraa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Diala
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.01.2026 Diala Diala 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa IRAK
08.05.2025 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa 1-0 HT 0-0 Diala Diala IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa got the better of Diala 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Zawraa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Zawraa and 0.50 for Diala.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Diala?

Al Zawraa 2-0 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 57%, draw 27%, Diala 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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