UD Oliveirense 3-0 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.25
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.4pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.37/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.49
+18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses 16.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Oliveirense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Benfica II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 2.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
241 Passes 314
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Benfica II Benfica II 2-0 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
16.02.2025 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-2 HT 2-2 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
15.09.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 2-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
07.04.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-1 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
25.11.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 1-1 HT 0-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
19.03.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-0 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Oliveirense
3-0
AWAY Benfica II
1.45 xG 1.19
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH UD Oliveirense vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Oliveirense ran out comfortable winners over Benfica II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, UD Oliveirense had 42% of the ball to Benfica II's 58%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.45 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.67 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Benfica II?

UD Oliveirense 3-0 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 29%, draw 23%, Benfica II 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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