UD Oliveirense vs Benfica II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UD Oliveirense v Benfica II — Team-Based Signals
UD Oliveirense vs Benfica II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
UD Oliveirense
POR2
2-0
HT 0-0
UD Oliveirense
POR2
2-2
HT 0-0
Benfica II
POR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Benfica II
POR2
UD Oliveirense 3-2 Benfica II — Actual Match Statistics
UD Oliveirense edged past Benfica II 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, UD Oliveirense had 48% of the ball to Benfica II's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.14 to 3.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Benfica II.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UD Oliveirense and 1.67 for Benfica II.
What was the final score of UD Oliveirense vs Benfica II?
UD Oliveirense 3-2 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UD Oliveirense vs Benfica II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UD Oliveirense 28%, draw 27%, Benfica II 45%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.