Vizela 0-0 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 34% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.37/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.40
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.1 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Leixoes
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.77 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
268 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 0-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR2
29.03.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 0-4 HT 0-2 Vizela Vizela POR2
07.11.2020 Vizela Vizela 2-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
0-0
AWAY Leixoes
2.65 xG 0.93
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
15 Corners 5
367 Passes 134
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
40 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Leixoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela and Leixoes fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Vizela had 67% of the ball to Leixoes's 33%, shots finished 28-13, expected goals 2.65 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vizela had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vizela and 0.33 for Leixoes.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Leixoes?

Vizela 0-0 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Leixoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vizela 45%, draw 30%, Leixoes 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vizela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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