Leixoes 0-1 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
47%
-12.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+11.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.29/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.67
-14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.1 Crosses 12.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vizela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.10 xG 1.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 0-4 HT 0-2 Vizela Vizela POR2
07.11.2020 Vizela Vizela 2-1 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
0-1
AWAY Vizela
1.29 xG 1.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
265 Passes 251
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela edged past Leixoes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Vizela made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Leixoes had 53% of the ball to Vizela's 47%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.29 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leixoes and 3.00 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Vizela?

Leixoes 0-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 34%, draw 29%, Vizela 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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