Benfica II 2-2 UD Oliveirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Oliveirense EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.35/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.61
-12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.61 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 3-1 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
25.11.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 1-1 HT 0-1 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
19.03.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-0 HT 0-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
08.10.2022 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 2-2 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
02.05.2021 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense 0-2 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
03.01.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 4-0 HT 1-0 UD Oliveirense UD Oliveirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
2-2
AWAY UD Oliveirense
2.18 xG 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs UD Oliveirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II and UD Oliveirense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Benfica II had 56% of the ball to UD Oliveirense's 44%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 2.18 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica II and 1.00 for UD Oliveirense.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs UD Oliveirense?

Benfica II 2-2 UD Oliveirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs UD Oliveirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 49%, draw 27%, UD Oliveirense 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Benfica II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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