Maritimo vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Alverca
POR
0-1
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR
0-2
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR
5-0
HT 1-0
Alverca
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Alverca
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR
Maritimo 1-2 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca squeezed past Maritimo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Maritimo had 73% of the ball to Alverca's 27%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.81 to 1.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Maritimo and 0.33 for Alverca.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Alverca?
Maritimo 1-2 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 42%, draw 35%, Alverca 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.