Portimonense 1-2 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.27/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.13
-46% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.8 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Torreense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.50 xG 3.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
213 Passes 255
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2024 Torreense Torreense 3-2 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
1-2
AWAY Torreense
1.58 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
250 Passes 260
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torreense edged past Portimonense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Torreense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Portimonense had 49% of the ball to Torreense's 51%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.58 to 1.67.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Torreense?

Portimonense 1-2 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 38%, draw 28%, Torreense 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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