Alverca 5-0 Maritimo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 16 Feb 2025

Alverca
5-0 HT 3-0
Maritimo
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Alverca vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
4.25
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alverca v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alverca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.56/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.41
+37% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.4 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Alverca vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alverca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Maritimo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 0.81
27% Ball Possession 73%
6 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
121 Passes 474
69% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Crosses 59
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Maritimo Maritimo 1-2 HT 0-2 Alverca Alverca POR2
23.01.2004 Maritimo Maritimo 1-1 HT 0-1 Alverca Alverca POR
22.08.2003 Alverca Alverca 0-1 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
09.02.2002 Alverca Alverca 0-2 HT 0-0 Maritimo Maritimo POR
16.09.2001 Maritimo Maritimo 5-0 HT 1-0 Alverca Alverca POR
22.01.2001 Maritimo Maritimo 2-1 HT 1-0 Alverca Alverca POR

Alverca 5-0 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alverca
5-0
AWAY Maritimo
2.93 xG 1.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
229 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH Alverca vs Maritimo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alverca ran out comfortable winners over Maritimo 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Alverca found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alverca had 44% of the ball to Maritimo's 56%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 2.93 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alverca and 2.00 for Maritimo.

What was the final score of Alverca vs Maritimo?

Alverca 5-0 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alverca vs Maritimo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alverca 37%, draw 28%, Maritimo 36%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alverca) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alverca) ✗ BTTS Yes
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