Rotor Volgograd 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 38%
-16% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +9%
1.13/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.06
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotor Volgograd
0W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-0 HT 0-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
30.03.2025 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
26.08.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-2 HT 1-1 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotor Volgograd
2-0
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rotor Volgograd vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotor Volgograd got the better of FK Rodina Moskva 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Rotor Volgograd found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 46% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 54%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rotor Volgograd and 1.00 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Rotor Volgograd 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 32%, draw 29%, FK Rodina Moskva 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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