Ural 2-0 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.02/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.43
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.57
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 248
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2025 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS1
21.04.2025 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS1
05.10.2024 Ural Ural 1-1 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
11.03.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS
28.09.2022 Ural Ural 1-0 HT 1-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUK
11.09.2022 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-0
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ural vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural got the better of Torpedo Moscow 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Ural had 43% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 57%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ural and 0.50 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Ural vs Torpedo Moscow?

Ural 2-0 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ural 41%, draw 28%, Torpedo Moscow 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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