Neftekhimik 4-0 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
0.98/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.23
-26% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Chernomorets
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2025 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-1 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
19.05.2025 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-2 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
19.10.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
26.11.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
06.08.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
4-0
AWAY Chernomorets
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik cruised past Chernomorets 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neftekhimik as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 52% of the ball to Chernomorets's 48%, shots finished 17-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Neftekhimik and 0.80 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?

Neftekhimik 4-0 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 52%, draw 26%, Chernomorets 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftekhimik), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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