Volga Ulyanovsk 2-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 22 Apr 2026

Volga Ulyanovsk
2-1 HT 1-0
Chayka
📅22/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chayka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volga Ulyanovsk v Chayka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 21%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.66
-38% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chayka Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chayka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.08.2025 Chayka Chayka 1-1 HT 0-0 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUS1

Volga Ulyanovsk 2-1 Chayka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
2-1
AWAY Chayka
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volga Ulyanovsk squeezed past Chayka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Volga Ulyanovsk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Volga Ulyanovsk had 53% of the ball to Chayka's 47%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chayka?

Volga Ulyanovsk 2-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 54%, draw 25%, Chayka 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) ✗ Under 2.5
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