Radnik Surdulica 2-0 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 22 Apr 2026

Radnik Surdulica
2-0 HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
📅22/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2025/2026

Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.56
Over
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radnik Surdulica v Novi Pazar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.36/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.32
-10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.5 Crosses 15.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
251 Passes 244
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2025 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
16.08.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
15.12.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 2-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
20.08.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
06.04.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
07.10.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-1 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP

Radnik Surdulica 2-0 Novi Pazar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
2-0
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.24 xG 0.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
290 Passes 188
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Surdulica saw off Novi Pazar 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radnik Surdulica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 58% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 42%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.24 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 1.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

Radnik Surdulica 2-0 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 45%, draw 26%, Novi Pazar 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Surdulica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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