Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-2 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
9.57
Draw
16%
5.28
Away Pick
71%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
35%
4-5
26%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
30%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Kızılyıldız win — 71%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
8%
+4.9pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.6pp
71%
Away Win
77%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 81%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.13/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.79
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.1
13.6 Crosses 25.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.61 xG 3.05
36% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
237 Passes 498
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 49
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2026 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-3 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
14.09.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 7-1 HT 4-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
26.02.2025 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-3 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
27.09.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
14.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
11.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-2 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
2-2
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.54 xG 2.83
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
188 Passes 534
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 35
3 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo and Kızılyıldız shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kızılyıldız at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 29% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 71%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.54 to 2.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 3.33 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Kızılyıldız?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-2 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 12%, draw 16%, Kızılyıldız 71%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kızılyıldız), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
22 Apr 2026
18:00 Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Analysis →
18:00 Vojvodina vs FK Partizan Analysis →
19:30 OFK Beograd vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →