Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
41%
+6.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
4W-2D-0L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-2 HT 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
21.07.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
11.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
10.12.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
13.08.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
20.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 HT 1-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
1-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad edged past CSKA Sofia 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ludogorets Razgrad had 40% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 60%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.83 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 48%, draw 24%, CSKA Sofia 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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