Steel City 2-1 Buffalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 22 May 2025

Steel City
2-1 HT 0-1
Buffalo
📅22/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
USA - USL League 2 – 2025

Steel City vs Buffalo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.43
No
53%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.7pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
66%
-18.2pp
53%
BTTS No
34%
+18.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Steel City v Buffalo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steel City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Buffalo EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Steel City vs Buffalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steel City squeezed past Buffalo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Steel City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Steel City vs Buffalo?

Steel City 2-1 Buffalo in the USA - USL League 2 on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steel City vs Buffalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Steel City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Steel City 46%, draw 27%, Buffalo 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Steel City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Steel City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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